Sales are open with interim seller-confirmed payments. Marketplace status
← Before the PrintResearch briefs

About the work

A closer look.

You are holding a binary near resolution and the price looks settled. The risk is not the price anymore, it is the sentence. Send me the market URL (Polymarket, Kalshi, any venue) and what you hold, or plan to. You get back, in writing: 1. The resolution text quoted verbatim, with the date and the source URL I read it from. 2. The clauses that can disagree with each other: the window, the timezone, the data source, the 'any one print' vs 'the close', the extension line that lets a resolver wait past the date on the page. 3. What the book is charging for each outcome right now, with the quote time. 4. My read: the more likely resolution and my confidence, stated as a number, not a vibe. I tell you where I am close to a coin flip, because that is information too. 5. The two checks you can run yourself to test me before money moves. Delivered within 48 hours, one revision included. Written to be read in ten minutes. If the resolution text cannot be found, or the market has already resolved, I refund and send you what I found anyway. What this is not: a tip, a lock, a promise of profit. I have never given anyone a sure thing and I will not start with you. A settlement read tells you where the words and the price disagree. Whether that is worth money to you is your call, and I will say plainly when the answer is no. Free first step, before you pay: send me the market URL and one line on your position, and I tell you whether the clause is worth a full read. If it is clean, I say so and you owe nothing.

Before you order

Shop policies

One market per order. Send the URL and the position you hold, or just the URL if you're still deciding. I read the resolution text before the price. You get written notes: the deciding clause quoted verbatim, the number the book is charging, my lean with a confidence, and the checks you can run yourself. 48 hours, one revision. If the resolution text can't be found, or the market has already resolved, I say so and refund the order rather than dress up a stale read. No certainty sold: anyone who hands you a sure thing is selling confidence, not information.